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Goolsbee Hints at Cautious Approach to Future Fed Rate Cuts
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Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee supports further interest rate cuts but suggests a slower pace may be appropriate. The Fed faces a debate on the speed and extent of rate reductions, with some officials concerned about stalled inflation progress and others worried about labor market cooling. Uncertainty surrounding President-elect Trump's policies adds complexity to the decision-making process. The upcoming December Fed meeting will be crucial in determining the next steps for monetary policy.
China Strikes Gold: 300-Tonne Deposit Found in Central Province
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China has unearthed a massive gold deposit worth $83 billion in Hunan province. Geologists discovered over 40 gold veins containing 300 tonnes of gold within 2,000 meters depth at the Wangu gold field. This find could significantly boost China's gold production, which currently accounts for 10% of global output. The Hunan Academy of Geology predicts potential reserves exceeding 1,000 tonnes at depths beyond 3,000 meters.
Barkin Sounds Alarm: US More Prone to Inflation Shocks
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Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin warns that the US economy is now more vulnerable to inflation shocks than in previous years. While expecting overall inflation to continue declining, Barkin notes that businesses are more readily passing costs to consumers. He expresses concern about potential inflationary impacts from proposed policies, including tariffs and immigration changes, under a potential Trump administration.
Gold Shines as Tech Stocks Stumble: Four-Day Rally Continues
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Gold prices continued their upward trend for the fourth consecutive day, driven by increased safe-haven demand amid disappointing tech earnings and ongoing geopolitical tensions. Spot gold rose 0.6% to $2,665.31 per ounce, with bullion up 4% for the week. Analysts attribute the surge more to falling stock markets following Nvidia's underwhelming forecast than to the Ukraine-Russia conflict.
Crypto Giant MicroStrategy Pushes Bitcoin to All-Time High
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Bitcoin has surged to unprecedented levels following MicroStrategy's massive $4.6 billion purchase, pushing its total holdings beyond $30 billion. The company intends to raise $2.6 billion more for additional Bitcoin investments. The cryptocurrency hit $94,668, benefiting from post-election optimism and increased interest in Bitcoin ETF options, indicating market expectations of continued growth.
New Treasury Shortlist Grows: Warsh and Rowan Join the Race
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President-elect Trump intensifies his search for a Treasury secretary, scheduling interviews with Kevin Warsh and Marc Rowan. The expanded candidate pool, which includes Scott Bessent, aims to break the deadlock in selecting the nation's top economic policymaker. Senator Bill Hagerty, another potential cabinet contender, joined Trump for a SpaceX launch, highlighting the ongoing deliberations for key positions.
Economists Predict Fed Rate Cut, but Inflation Risks May Slow 2025 Reductions
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Economists predict a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, followed by a slower pace of reductions in 2025 than previously expected1. This shift is attributed to potential inflationary pressures from President-elect Trump's proposed policies, including tariffs and tax cuts. Despite strong economic indicators and stubborn inflation, most economists still anticipate a 25 basis point cut next month, though market expectations have become less certain.
New Research Highlights Silver's Strategic Role in Diversification
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A new report commissioned by the Silver Institute suggests that institutional investors should allocate 4-6% of their portfolios to silver for optimal diversification and risk reduction. The study, conducted by Oxford Economics, highlights silver's low correlation with other asset classes and its potential for strong returns, especially given its growing industrial applications in green technologies.
Swiss Gold Industry Wrestles with Transparency Demands
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Switzerland, a global hub for gold refining, is grappling with calls for greater transparency in its gold trade. Despite a court setback, industry groups are pushing for more rigorous due diligence and disclosure of supplier information. The move aims to address concerns about human rights violations and environmental damage in gold mining while maintaining Switzerland's competitive edge in the sector.
High Yields Attract Buyers as Treasury Yields Hit Multi-Month Highs
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The 30-year US Treasury yield reached its highest level since May, attracting buyers and supporting bond prices. Investors are reassessing economic expectations and Fed policy in light of Donald Trump's election victory. The high yields are providing a cushion for investors, while new corporate bond sales and uncertainty over Trump's Treasury secretary pick are influencing market dynamics.
STATE STREET: 2024 Gold ETF Impact Study
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State Street's 2024 Gold ETF Impact Study reveals a surge in gold investment, driven by economic uncertainty. Gold ETFs emerge as a preferred investment vehicle, with a majority of investors using gold for diversification and long-term gains. The study emphasizes the potential for growth in gold ETF adoption, particularly among younger investors.
Fed Chair Powell: No Rush to Factor in Trump's Economic Plans
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Federal Reserve officials are taking a cautious approach to Donald Trump's potential policies, unlike in 2016 when they quickly adjusted forecasts based on expected fiscal changes. Chair Jerome Powell emphasizes waiting for concrete policy proposals before making economic projections, contrasting with the Fed's previous rapid response to Trump's election.
Banking Giant HSBC Initiates Major Restructuring, Senior Jobs at Stake
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HSBC is undergoing a major restructuring, with hundreds of managers competing to keep their jobs in the newly formed corporate and institutional banking division. The process involves interviews pitting senior staff from different units against each other, likely resulting in several hundred job cuts in the coming weeks.
Gold Snaps Losing Streak as Dollar Momentum Slows
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Gold prices bounced back on Monday after six consecutive sessions of losses, driven by a pause in the U.S. dollar's rally. Investors are now awaiting comments from Federal Reserve officials for insights into the future interest rate trajectory. The precious metal's price rose 1.3% to $2,593.32 per ounce, moving away from a two-month low reached last Thursday. This rebound comes after gold experienced its largest weekly decline in over three years due to expectations of less aggressive interest rate cuts by the Fed.
Trump's Tariffs: Why Some CEOs Aren't Buying the Doom and Gloom
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While economists predict significant economic disruption from Trump's proposed tariffs, many business leaders are less concerned. CEOs and investors are skeptical that Trump will follow through on all his tariff threats and express confidence in their ability to navigate any new trade policies. This optimism stands in stark contrast to economists' dire predictions.
Powell Emphasizes Patience in Rate-Cutting Strategy as Economy Thrives
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In recent remarks, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stressed that the robust U.S. economy provides flexibility in the timing of future rate cuts. He noted that the current economic conditions don't necessitate hasty rate reductions. Powell reaffirmed the Fed's commitment to bringing inflation down to 2%, acknowledging that the path may not always be smooth.
Unexpected Boost: October Retail Sales Surpass Predictions
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October's retail sales data showed a 0.4% increase, surpassing forecasts and indicating continued consumer spending strength. The report also revealed a substantial upward revision to September's sales, further highlighting the robust state of consumer spending.
Inflation Ticks Up to 2.6% in October, Halting Downward Trend
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The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report shows U.S. inflation rose to 2.6% year-over-year in October, up from 2.4% in September. This increase breaks the recent trend of cooling inflation. Monthly inflation remained steady at 0.2%, while core inflation measures held stable.
Study: Tiny Fraction of IMF Gold Could Wipe Out Debt for Dozens of Countries
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A new study suggests the IMF should sell 4% of its gold reserves to provide $9.52 billion in debt relief for 86 low-income countries affected by climate disasters. This would expand the IMF's Catastrophe Containment Relief Trust, which currently has limited funding and eligibility. The proposal aims to address the growing burden of IMF loan repayments on vulnerable economies.
Markets Hold Steady as Powell Speech Looms, GOP Sweep Sinks In
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Wall Street remained cautious on Thursday, with major indices showing slight declines. Investors focused on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech and the potential economic impact of Republican control in DC, while recent inflation data continued to fuel hopes for a December rate cut.
Beijing's $2 Billion Dollar Bond Issuance Defies De-dollarization Talk
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China's recent issuance of $2 billion in US dollar bonds in Saudi Arabia highlights the enduring appeal of the dollar in international finance, despite calls for de-dollarization. The move strengthens China-Saudi ties and provides benchmarks for Chinese companies, while also demonstrating the dollar's continued dominance in global markets.
UBS Sets $2,900/oz Gold Target, Advises Buying on Dips
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UBS remains bullish on gold, advising investors to buy on dips around $2,600/oz with a $2,900/oz target over the next 12 months. The bank emphasizes gold's enduring value as a hedge against economic uncertainties and recommends a 5% allocation in balanced portfolios, citing factors such as central bank demand, potential US fiscal deficits, and ongoing geopolitical tensions as supportive of gold prices.
WGC: Unearthed: Gold responds to the Fed's rate cut, US election and China stimulus
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Gold prices are responding to a perfect storm of economic and political factors. The Fed's recent rate cut to 4.5%-4.75%, Trump's election victory, and China's economic stimulus measures are all influencing the precious metal's value. In this episode of Unearthed, hosts John Reade and Joe Cavatoni discuss the latest news and events and how they impact the gold markets.
Treasury Yields Climb Post-Trump Win, Experts Warn of Inflationary Pressures
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Bond market experts are adjusting their forecasts following Trump's presidential win, with concerns about inflation driving expectations for higher long-term Treasury yields. The 10-year Treasury yield has jumped since the election, as Trump's proposed policies could substantially increase U.S. debt. This development, alongside robust economic indicators, has led to a reassessment of the Federal Reserve's rate cut plans and market predictions for future monetary policy.
Powell's Inflation Optimism Challenged as Consumer Expectations Rise
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Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell maintains that long-term inflation expectations are "well anchored," but recent data and expert opinions suggest otherwise. Consumer expectations for inflation over the next 5-10 years have risen, and economists predict that President-elect Trump's policies may further boost inflation. Companies are already warning of price increases, and many Americans continue to feel the strain of high prices.
Gold Steadies at $2,600 Level as Markets Digest US Inflation Figures
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Gold prices have stabilized around $2,600 after finding support at a major trendline, halting a short-term downtrend. The recent US CPI data, which aligned with expectations, had minimal impact on gold prices. The precious metal's November sell-off was influenced by expectations of elevated US interest rates and significant outflows from Gold ETFs.
Trump's Tariff Plans May Slow Fed's Rate-Cutting Pace, Says Ex-Policymaker
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The Federal Reserve may implement fewer interest rate cuts in 2025 than previously anticipated due to President-elect Donald Trump's proposed tariff policies. Former Fed policymaker Loretta Mester believes the market is correct in adjusting its expectations, as Trump's fiscal plans could impact the pace of rate cuts and potentially lead to higher inflation.
Bond Markets React: Treasury Yields Climb in Response to Trump's Election Win
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In the wake of Donald Trump's election win, U.S. Treasury yields experienced a significant uptick, reflecting market concerns about future inflation and interest rate trajectories. The 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields both rose by over 8 basis points, reaching 4.39% and 4.334% respectively. Investors are now closely monitoring upcoming economic data and Federal Reserve statements to gauge the potential long-term effects of Trump's proposed policies on the economy.
Russia's Golden Milestone: Reserves Surpass $200 Billion Mark
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Russia's gold reserves have hit a historic milestone, surpassing $200 billion for the first time. In October, the country's gold holdings reached $207.7 billion, representing 32.9% of its total international reserves. This marks the highest proportion of gold in Russia's reserves since November 1999.
BOJ Treads Carefully: No Clear Signals for December Rate Hike
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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is exercising caution regarding potential interest rate hikes, as revealed in the summary of opinions from its October policy meeting. Board members emphasized the need for careful consideration, citing market instability and the uncertain trajectory of the U.S. economy post-election. While economists anticipate a rate move by January, the BOJ's lack of clear signals for December or January leaves observers speculating about the timing of the next policy adjustment.
Investors Bet Big on Trump: Record-Breaking $20 Billion Inflow to US Equities
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On the day of Donald Trump's decisive victory in the presidential election, US equity funds experienced a massive influx of $20 billion, marking the largest single-day investment in five months. This surge in investment, particularly in small-cap stocks, coincided with US stocks reaching record highs and the S&P 500 Index heading for its biggest weekly advance in a year. While Trump's proposed corporate tax cuts are expected to boost earnings, concerns remain about potential inflationary effects of his tariffs and immigration policies.
Rate Cut Continues, but Fed Faces New Challenges in Trump's Second Term
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The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates for the second consecutive time, lowering the federal funds rate to 4.5%-4.75%. While this move aims to support economic growth, uncertainty looms due to Donald Trump's re-election and his proposed economic policies. Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the central bank's independence, stating he would not resign if asked by Trump, setting the stage for potential tensions between the Fed and the incoming administration.
Hedging Against Uncertainty: The Rise of Gold and Silver in Election Year
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In his latest analysis, Mike Maharrey contends that the real winners of the 2024 election are gold and silver. He points out that despite changing administrations, trends of expanding government and rising debt persist. Maharrey emphasizes the strong performance of precious metals, with gold setting 39 all-time highs and both gold and silver outpacing major stock indices. He advocates for investing in these metals as a protective measure against economic instability and federal policy impacts.
CME CEO, 'Gold Trades have Tripled Today'
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According to CME CEO, Terry Duffy, trading activity for gold has increased significantly following the recent election. This surge in trading volume suggests heightened investor interest and market volatility surrounding gold in response to the election outcome. The dramatic increase in gold trades likely reflects investors adjusting their portfolios and hedging strategies in light of potential policy changes and economic impacts stemming from the election results.
Fed Cuts Rates Amid Uncertain Economic Landscape Following Trump's Win
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The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by a quarter percentage point on Thursday, following Donald Trump's election victory. This decision comes amid a changing economic landscape, as Trump's proposed policies on tariffs, taxes, and immigration could significantly impact growth and inflation. The Fed now faces the challenge of navigating these potential changes while maintaining its independence and managing inflation expectations.
Oil Markets Stabilize Post-Election: Balancing Trump's Policies and Supply Concerns
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Oil prices experienced a slight recovery following the U.S. presidential election, as traders weighed the potential impact of Donald Trump's victory on oil supply and demand. The market is balancing concerns over possible supply disruptions due to Trump's policies, particularly regarding Iran and Venezuela, against the strengthening U.S. dollar and rising inventories. Additionally, Hurricane Rafael in the Gulf of Mexico is contributing to supply concerns, temporarily halting some oil production in the region.
Bank of England Cuts Rates, Warns of Inflation Pressures Ahead
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The Bank of England has cut interest rates to 4.75%, with expectations of gradual further reductions. However, the recent UK budget and Donald Trump's election victory are likely to increase inflationary pressures, potentially slowing the pace of future rate cuts. This marks a shift from the post-2008 era of deflation concerns to a higher interest rate environment, distinct from both the pre-2008 and post-2008 periods.
10-Year Treasury Yield Hits 4.46% Post-Election
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The 10-year Treasury yield rose sharply to 4.461% after Donald Trump defeated Kamala Harris in the presidential election. This significant increase is attributed to market expectations of economic growth and increased government spending, particularly if Republicans secure a majority in Congress.
Bitcoin Up as Trump Pledges to Make US 'Crypto Capital'
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The US stock market and cryptocurrency prices surged to record highs following Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 presidential election. Investors reacted positively to the prospect of Republican policies, including lower taxes and deregulation. The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped over 1,200 points, while Bitcoin reached a new all-time high above $75,000. Trump's win also boosted his own media company's stock by nearly 38%. However, some sectors like renewable energy saw declines, and analysts warn that Trump's policies could potentially reignite inflation.
Market Volatility Spikes as Treasuries React to Election Day Pressures
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Treasury yields climbed on Election Day, with the two-year yield hitting a multi-month high and the 10-year yield approaching a three-month peak. The increase was driven by strong US services sector data and anticipation of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Market volatility indicators suggested investors were preparing for significant fluctuations in yields following the election results.
Chinese Economic Rebound Fuels Copper Price Surge
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Copper prices have risen for the third consecutive day, driven by positive economic data from China and expectations of further stimulus measures. China's services sector showed strong growth, and recent factory indicators have been better than anticipated, suggesting that existing stimulus efforts may be yielding results. The market is anticipating additional economic support measures from the Chinese government, which could further boost copper demand.
Gold Retreats from Record Highs as Investors Lock in Profits
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Gold prices have experienced a minor pullback from recent all-time highs, primarily due to profit-taking by traders. The precious metal briefly touched $2,800 per ounce before retreating, with volatility driven by factors such as the upcoming U.S. election, economic uncertainty, and geopolitical tensions. Despite the short-term fluctuations, long-term investments continue to flow into gold, with ETFs seeing net inflows and central banks increasing their reserves. The market remains sensitive to economic indicators and potential policy shifts, with investors closely watching for signs of further volatility or stabilization in gold prices.