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US Dollar Weekly Forecast: Tariffs, jobs, and US economic jives

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A poor second half of the week left the US Dollar (USD) empty-handed, reversing the previous week’s advance despite hitting new three-week tops well north of the 104.00 barrier in the last couple of days, when measured by the US Dollar Index (DXY).

EUR/USD Weekly Forecast: US Dollar to fall further despite ruling uncertainty

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The EUR/USD pair remained under selling pressure for a second consecutive week but ended it little changed at around 1.0820. The US Dollar (USD) remained trapped between tariff-related concerns and tepid US data, limiting its safe-haven condition.

GBP/USD Weekly Outlook: Pound Sterling braces for Trump’s tariff wave  

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The Pound Sterling (GBP) sustained its correction from four-month highs against the US Dollar (USD) over the past week, keeping the GBP/USD pair below the 1.3000 threshold.

Gold Weekly Forecast: Trade war fears lift Gold to new record high

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Gold (XAU/USD) gathered bullish momentum and surged to a new record high above $3,080 on Friday after struggling to find direction at the beginning of the week.

US Dollar steadies as markets look for fresh clues in the US PCE inflation release

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The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is currently flat to slightly higher near 104.50 at the time of writing on Friday.

Market does not expect US import tariffs on crude oil from Canada and Mexico – Commerzbank

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The postponement of US import tariffs on certain goods from Canada and Mexico granted by US President Trump at the beginning of March will end next Wednesday, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.

Gold picks up again and resides near its fresh all-time high

1743162513 from FXSTREET

Gold price (XAU/USD) is printing another record performance this Friday, hitting $3,086 as the new all-time high for now and trading around $3,077 at the time of writing. Bullion sees another wave of safe-haven inflow, this time from investors that are

US core PCE inflation expected to remain sticky, bolstering Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance on rate cuts

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The United States (US) Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is set to release the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data for February on Friday at 12:30 GMT.

EUR/USD to consolidate around 1.08-1.09 with upside risks – Danske Bank

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EUR/USD holds around 1.08 as Trump imposes auto tariffs and signals lenient reciprocal measures, Danske Bank's FX analyst Jesper Fjärstedt reports.

US natural gas storage rises – ING

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US natural gas prices traded under pressure as the US witnessed its second straight week of inventory injection while weather forecasts remained mixed, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.

USD/CNH: Likely to trade sideways between 7.2570 and 7.2820 – UOB Group

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US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade sideways vs Chinese Yuan (CNH) between 7.2570 and 7.2820.

EUR/USD weakens as EU prepares retaliatory measures against Trump's auto tariffs

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EUR/USD declines to near 1.0775 during European trading hours on Friday.

China: Buckle up for ‘Liberation Day’ – Standard Chartered

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The US has limited room to further hike tariffs on China under the Reciprocal Tariff Act.

Copper has continues to retreat from its nine-month high – ING

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Meanwhile, Copper has continued to retreat from its nine-month high as expectations for the ex-US tightness are retreating following reports earlier this week that US tariffs on Copper imports could be imposed within weeks, not months, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.

USD/JPY: Has a small chance of testing 151.30 – UOB Group

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US Dollar (USD) could test 151.30 vs Japanese Yen (JPY); it is uncertain if it can break clearly above this level.

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Trades inside Thursday’s range ahead of US PCE Inflation

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The USD/CHF pair ticks higher to near 0.8830 but trades inside Thursday’s trading range in Friday’s North American session ahead of the United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data for February, which will be published at 12:30 GMT.

Gold climbs to a new record high – ING

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Gold surged to a fresh record high this morning, surpassing the previous record hit just yesterday, after US President Donald Trump announced 'permanent' 25% tariffs on auto imports, intensifying trade tensions, ING's commodity experts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note.

JPY: Inflation surprises to the upside – Commerzbank

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This morning saw the release of March inflation figures for the Tokyo area, which are traditionally a good leading indicator for inflation in Japan as a whole.

Pound Sterling rises on surprisingly positive UK Retail Sales data

1743159457 from FXSTREET

The Pound Sterling (GBP) outperforms against its peers, except the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen (JPY), on Friday after the release of the United Kingdom (UK) Retail Sales data for February and revised Q4 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures.

AUD: Suffering as the CNY proxy – ING

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Despite some ongoing reassessment of the dollar, AUD/USD has lagged, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.

NZD/USD: Expected to continue to trade in a range – UOB Group

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New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is expected to continue to trade in a range, likely between 0.5710 and 0.5755.

GBP: Retail sales surprise on the upside – ING

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UK retail sales surprise on the upside, ING's FX analyst Chris Turner notes.

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Holds above 1.4300 ahead of US PCE Inflation, Canadian GDP data

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The USD/CAD pair rises to near 1.4330 during European trading hours on Friday.

AUD/USD: Likely to continue to trade between 0.6275/0.6320 – UOB Group

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Australian Dollar (AUD) is likely to continue to trade in a range vs US Dollar (USD), expected to be between 0.6275/0.6320.

US crude oil inventories decline significantly – Commerzbank

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US crude oil inventories declined by 3.3 million barrels last week, as reported by the US Department of Energy in the middle of the week, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.

GBP/USD: Likely to trade in a 1.2900/1.3000 range today – UOB Group

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Pound Sterling (GBP) is likely to trade in a 1.2900/1.3000 range today vs US Dollar (USD).

USD: Price action is going to be instructive – ING

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The value of currencies in FX markets is typically driven by interest rate differentials, with FX effectively being seen as an extension of monetary policy.

China exported significantly more Gold to Hong Kong in February – Commerzbank

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Data published this week by the Hong Kong Statistics Authority on Gold trade with China confirmed the picture of very weak demand for Gold in China, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes Gold exports to China and Hong Kong come to a standstill in February "According to the data, 26.4 tons more Gold were delivered from China to Hong Kong in February than vice versa.

Gold remains well supported by political uncertainty – Commerzbank

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Gold has reacted positively to the latest US tariffs, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Barbara Lambrecht notes.

EUR/USD: Next resistance at 1.0870 is unlikely to come under threat – UOB Group

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Room for Euro (EUR) to rebound further vs US Dollar (USD) and test 1.0825; the next resistance at 1.0870 is unlikely to come under threat.

EUR: Tariff fatigue is evident – ING

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EUR/USD held in surprisingly well yesterday – as did European automakers.

GBP/USD Forecast: Pound Sterling fails to benefit from upbeat data

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GBP/USD gathered bullish momentum and closed in positive territory on Thursday. The pair stays in a consolidation phase near 1.2950 in the European session on Friday as markets await the next key data release from the US.

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD flirts with ascending channel hurdle, around mid-$34.00s

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Silver (XAG/USD) climbs its highest level since late October 2024 during the first half of the European session on Friday and currently trades around mid-$34.00s, up nearly 0.30% for the day.

ECB’s de Guindos: Trade war would mostly impact economic growth

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 European Central Bank (ECB) Vice President Luis de Guindos said on Friday, “trade war would mostly impact economic growth.”

EUR/USD Forecast: Euro loses recovery momentum ahead of US inflation data

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EUR/USD gained nearly 0.5% on Thursday and snapped a six-day losing streak. The pair, however, loses its traction and trades in the negative territory below 1.0800 on Friday, pressured by the risk-averse market atmosphere.

Live Coverage: Core PCE and Personal Spending meet rattled markets

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How is the US consumer doing? That question is on markets' minds for quite some time.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Retreats from multi-week top on strong Tokyo CPI, ahead of US PCE

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The USD/JPY pair retreats after touching a nearly four-week top earlier this Friday and extends its intraday descent through the first half of the European session.

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds record-setting rally ahead of US PCE inflation test

1743130024 from FXSTREET

Gold price extends its record-setting rally toward $3,100 after settling above $3,050 on Thursday. Sitting at record highs, Gold price keenly awaits the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data and US President Donald Trump’s tariff updates for additional trading impetus.

EUR/USD snaps losing streak, but market clouds continue to gather

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EUR/USD caught a breather on Thursday, rising by four-tenths of one percent and snapping a six-day losing streak that saw Fiber shed 2% peak-to-trough.

Gold price rallies to new all-time high as Trump rekindles trade war fears

1743116967 from FXSTREET

Gold price uptrend continued on Thursday with the yellow metal hitting a new record high of $3,059 amid uncertainty over trade policies enacted by US President Donald Trump, which escalated the trade war by imposing tariffs on automobiles.

USD/CAD posts modest gains above 1.4300, eyes on US PCE release

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The USD/CAD pair posts modest gains near 1.4310 during the late American session on Thursday.

GBP/USD attempts another rebound, but technical ceiling remains

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GBP/USD found the gas pedal on Thursday, rallying one-half of one percent and climbing back over 1.2900.

Canadian Dollar pares recent gains as trade war rhetoric heats up

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The Canadian Dollar (CAD) shed weight on Thursday, paring away recent gains against the US Dollar (USD) as trade war rhetoric between the US and Canada ramps up.

AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Extends gains toward 95.30 amid overbought momentum

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The AUD/JPY pair extended its winning streak on Thursday, advancing toward the 95.30 region after a strong daily performance.

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD explodes above $34 on US tariff turmoil

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Silver price rallies sharply on Thursday, clears the $34.00 mark as uncertainty about US trade policies, regarding 25% tariffs in all cars, increased appetite for the precious metal.

Fed's Collins: It's inevitable tariffs will increase inflation in the near term

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Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Boston President Susan Collins noted on Thursday that the Fed's challenge at this point is having to choose between maintaining a tight policy stance, or trying to run ahead of data that might be souring in the future.

Fed's Barkin: Fed waiting for uncertainty to clear before acting

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Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin hit newswires on Thursday, warning that incoming economic uncertainty at the hands of the Trump administration's lopsided trade policy will force the Fed into a wait-and-see approach than most investors are hoping for.

NZD/USD Price Analysis: Edges higher toward 0.5740 as bulls cling to short-term momentum

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The NZD/USD pair posted mild gains on Thursday, edging higher toward the 0.5740 area after the European session and entering the Asian session on a firmer note.

Australian Dollar eyes further upside amid softer US Dollar and tariff caution

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The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades steady around the region 0.6300 against the US Dollar (USD) during Thursday’s American session.

Dow Jones Industrial Average heads lower as tariff fears loom

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) headed lower for a second straight day on Thursday, declining another 100 points to fall one-quarter of one percent.